Turns Out Organic Can Feed The World – Sustainably

Changes over to 40%, 60% and even 100% organic farming can  feed the world. Interestingly, this is only possible if we also do two things we’re supposed to do anyway. So what are these two crucial components of  a truly sustainable diet, which would need to accompany organic farming?

photo of organic farmer (c) EU Commission

It can sometimes seem fanciful to speculate on whether organic farming can feed the world, when so little of the land area of earth is farmed organically.

Nevertheless, a new study in Nature Communications, (Muller et al 2017) shows that it is possible to feed 10 billion humans using organic farming, albeit when accompanied with other changes.

However – and very importantly, these changes are necessary to carry out anyway. Primarily, they involved reduced meat consumption and a corollary decline in the area of land used to grow crops to feed animals; increased use of traditional methods of bringing Nitrogen into the farming systems (via clover and legumes) and reduced food waste.

This shift to organic production would reduce fossil fuel use, greenhouse gas emissions, Nitrogen related pollution and pesticide use. The guardian reported that “this is important, as converting other land such as forests, cerrado or peatlands to agricultural use would increase greenhouse gas emissions from the land.”

The main problem in a 100% shift to organic farming, the paper suggests, is guaranteeing an adequate supply of Nitrogen. This is only a problem at the very top end of their speculation – ie at over 80% conversion to organic farming – and not at issue at lower levels of conversion to organic. And, needless to say, we are some distance from 80% organic!

Nevertheless, even this problem is surmountable, with better regulation of food waste, including the potential integration of (composted) human food waste into the food system.

 â€œAdditional measures are needed to ensure adequate N-supply on croplands. Potential measures include optimizing legume management, recycling nutrients from various organic wastes and increasing nutrient use efficiency.”

It is also stated by the authors that increases below 100% in the overall organic land area, combined with necessary food system changes, are well capable of feeding the world and ensuring adequate Nitrogen supply:

“Overall, the results show that, for example, a food system with a combination of 60% organic production, 50% less food competing feed and 50% reduced food wastage would need little additional land  and have an acceptable N-supply, when medium CC (climate change) impacts on yields are assumed.”

Similarly, even a partial conversion of 40% of the world’s farm land to organic, with various combinations of reduced crop growing for animal feed and reduced food waste are viable, involving in some cases reduced overall land use.

There are, nevertheless, problems with this study, some of which are acknowledged in the paper. With an absence of data in certain areas, they make questionable presumptions about organic farming.

For example, it lists a “10-20% increase in soil erosion under 100% organic conditions, because of increased land area farmed organically.” They further state that they are assuming similar soil erosion rates in organic and conventional farming.

This does not adequately take into account ample evidence for organic farming and soil building – both practical (e.g. using composted farm yard manure, using rotations, cover crops etc) and in the peer reviewed science, including meta studies of all available themed research. Neither does it contemplate improvements in organic techniques, including the potential adoption of the best regenerative techniques by increasing numbers of organic farmers. Indeed there are, inevitably, many improvements and refinements possible in organic not yet contemplated.

They also presumed a similar water demand for both systems, despite evidence that organic performs better under water stressed conditions, and did not have the capacity to model biodiversity into the study.

The potential for collapse of aspects of the food system under continuing present conditions, with for example pollinator population decline, is thus not considered.

They do make a presumption that full conversion to organic with the other two food system changes (reduced food waste and increased legume production/reduced meat consumption) would give an overall positive score for biodiversity.

Read the full paper:
Strategies for feeding the world more sustainably with organic agriculture

A version of this article has also appeared in the Irish Examiner farming

Oliver Moore
About Oliver Moore 189 Articles
DR. Oliver Moore is the communications director and editor-in-chief with ARC2020. He has a PhD in the sociology of farming and food, where he specialised in organics and direct sales. He is published in the International Journal of Consumer Studies, International Journal of Agricultural Resources, Governance and Ecology and the Journal of Agriculture, Food Systems, and Community Development. A weekly columnist and contributor with Irish Examiner, he is a regular on Countrywide (Irish farm radio show on the national broadcaster RTE 1) and engages in other communications work around agri-food and rural issues, such as with the soil, permaculture, climate change adaptation and citizen science initiative Grow Observatory . He lectures part time in the Centre for Co-operative Studies UCC                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Oliver voyage beaucoup moins qu’auparavant, pour ce qui concerne son activitĂ© professionnelle. Il peut nĂ©anmoins admirer par la fenĂȘtre de son bureau les mĂ©sanges charbonniĂšres et les corbeaux perchĂ©s au sommet du saule dans le jardin de sa maison au cƓur de l’écovillage de Cloughjordan, en Irlande. L’écovillage est un site de 67 acres dans le nord du Tipperary. Il comprend d’espaces boisĂ©s, des paysages comestibles, des lieux de vie, d’habitation et de travail, ainsi qu’une ferme appartenant Ă  la communautĂ©. Les jours oĂč il travaille dans le bureau du centre d’entreprise communautaire, il profite d’une vue sur les chevaux, les panneaux solaires, les toilettes sĂšches et les jardins familiaux.  Ce bureau au sein de l’écovillage constitue en effet un tiers-lieu de travail accueillant Ă©galement des collaborateurs des associations Cultivate et Ecolise, ainsi qu’un laboratoire de fabrication (« fab lab »).  Oliver est membre du conseil d’administration de la ferme communautaire (pour la seconde fois !) et donne Ă©galement des cours sur le Master en coopĂ©ratives, agroalimentaire et dĂ©veloppement durable Ă  l’University College Cork. Il a une formation en sociologie rurale : son doctorat et les articles qu’il publie dans des journaux scientifiques portent sur ce domaine au sens large. Il consacre la majoritĂ© de son temps de travail Ă  l’ARC 2020. Il collabore avec ARC depuis 2013, date Ă  laquelle l’Irlande a assurĂ© la prĂ©sidence de l’UE pendant six mois. C’est lĂ  qu’il a pu constater l’importance de la politique agroalimentaire et rurale grĂące Ă  sa chronique hebdomadaire sur le site d’ARC. AprĂšs six mois, il est nommĂ© rĂ©dacteur en chef et responsable de la communication, poste qu’il occupe toujours aujourd’hui. Oliver supervise le contenu du site web et des mĂ©dias sociaux, aide Ă  dĂ©finir l’orientation de l’organisation et parfois mĂȘme rĂ©dige un article pour le site web.  À l’époque oĂč on voyageait davantage, il a eu la chance de passer du temps sous les tropiques, oĂč il a aidĂ© des ONG irlandaises de commerce Ă©quitable – au Ghana, au Kenya, au Mali, en Inde et au Salvador – Ă  raconter leur histoire.  Il se peut que ces jours-lĂ  reviennent. Pour son compte Oliver continuera de prĂ©fĂ©rer naviguer en Europe par bateau, puis en train. AprĂšs tout, la France n’est qu’à une nuit de navigation. En attendant, il y a toujours de nombreuses possibilitĂ©s de bĂ©nĂ©volat dans la communautĂ© dans les campagnes du centre de l’Irlande.